BUFFALO, N.Y. — From mild temperatures to the chance for rain, flurries and a weekend wind chill, those are all potential forecast points from Thursday through Sunday.
Thursday's afternoon high temperatures in the mid 60s brought us the warmest St. Patrick's Day in 10 years. The warmest St. Patrick's Day on record occurred in 2012 with a record high temperature of 73 degrees for the date. In fact, looking back through 78 years of weather records for the holiday, only 5% of all St. Patrick's Days within this timeframe have experienced highs in the 60s.
On the flip side, most St. Patrick's Days have trended to be cooler than average with temperatures in the 30s. Keep that in mind when thinking about the parade forecast for this weekend.
Speaking of the weekend, Friday will be another mild day with temperatures in the low 60s in the afternoon. But Friday is when the forecast begins to change with the next impactful system moving in for the weekend. The seasonal swings from spring-like to wintry make an untimely return for the weekend.
A few showers are possible Friday evening as the next low pressure system moves up into the Great Lakes. This system will bring widespread showers with it heading into Saturday and for much of the day too.
Saturday will be a rainy day by comparison, with off and on showers expected in the morning, afternoon and evening. Rain totals will be around half an inch on average for the day. And with particular system, even a stray storm and rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out either. Not a washout, but expect rain showers throughout the day with temperatures hovering in the lo-mid 50s. Could be a bit breezy too at times.
Cooler temperatures will accompany this system heading into Sunday, which could lead to a few rain/snow showers late Saturday night and Sunday morning with temperatures falling into the mid 30s. A few flurries are even possible Sunday morning before the forecast slowly clears the rest of the day.
And while it will be a chilly and cloudy morning Sunday, some clearing is expected for the rest of the day but temperatures will only rise into the mid 40s.
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