BUFFALO, N.Y. — The Farmer's Almanac has just released its official 2024-25 winter forecast.
For over 200 years, the Farmer's Almanac, not to be confused with the Old Farmer's Almanac, has been predicting long range weather forecasts.
According to the Farmer's Almanac, they base their weather predictions on correlations between meteorological conditions, as well as celestial events.
They use an original formula that dates back to 1818 and uses some other proprietary factors that have never been fully exposed.
The track record of the Farmer's Almanac winter forecast isn’t bad, hovering just over 50% which is similar to a coin flip.
This year their forecast weighs highly on developing La Niña. A La Niña is the opposite of an El Niño. A La Niña is an atmospheric circulation created by colder waters off the South American Pacific near the equator These cold waters adjust the position of the jet stream can lead to atmospheric changes during the winter months.
The Farmer's Almanac winter forecast calls for a cold, wet and white winter for much of the Great Lake's region, mild and wet for the East Coast and the southeast cold with average snowfall for the center part of the country. Cold and wet weather for the Pacific Northwest is expected.
Breaking this down for Western New York, the Farmer's Almanac expects a snowier than normal winter with near normal temperatures, however, there will be several bouts of cold outbreaks.
The Farmer's Almanac also is targeting the last week of January into the first week of February of having enhanced cold and snowy period.
Again, their accuracy rate is just above 50% and the Farmer's Almanac forecast did pretty well last winter across the United States.
However, the main part of the winter forecast that the Farmer's Almanac missed was how warm last winter actually turned out to be.
Here at Storm Team 2 we are beginning to analyze the weather patterns that we expect and will have our winter weather forecast in the mid Fall.
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